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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

Ajax

U S U T S

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

22 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 5. · Vitesse 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Den Haag	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Twente	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Roda	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Groningen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Zwolle	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
9	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Groningen	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.