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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Roda
T S S S T
2–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 54%
23%
84%
Points per game
0,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
61%
77%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
3,1
3,7
Scored
1,1
2,6
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 16. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 26 2 3 +48 80
2 Ajax 31 22 4 5 +49 70
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 20 5 6 +30 65
4 Feyenoord 31 17 6 8 +30 57
5 Heerenveen 30 12 9 9 +1 45
6 Zwolle 32 12 8 12 -5 44
7 Vitesse 27 11 8 8 +15 41
8 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 -2 41
9 Den Haag 30 11 7 12 -8 40
10 Excelsior 31 11 6 14 -10 39
11 Heracles 31 10 7 14 -17 37
12 VVV Venlo 31 7 13 11 -12 34
13 Groningen 31 7 12 12 -4 33
14 Willem II 31 9 6 16 -10 33
15 NAC Breda 31 8 6 17 -18 30
16 Roda 31 7 5 19 -29 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 31 6 6 19 -37 24
18 Twente 32 5 8 19 -21 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda PSV Eindhoven
1–0 J. Vansteenkiste
G. van Velzen
29′
32′
H. Lozano 1–1
S. Bergwijn
Half-time 1–1
M. Engels 🔁
↦ G. van Velzen
62′
2–1 Simon Gustafson
J. Vancamp
65′
66′
🔁 Albert Gudmundsson
↦ Mauro Júnior
72′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ S. Lammers
M. Ngombo 🔁
↦ J. Vancamp
79′
84′
🔁 G. Pereiro
↦ P. Rosario
86′
J. Hendrix 2–2
G. Pereiro
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
3 P. Banggaard D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
15 O. Gnjatić M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
7 M. Rosheuvel M
11 G. van Velzen F
18 J. Vancamp F
Bench (10)
14 M. Engels
28 M. Ngombo
2 H. Dijkhuizen
6 M. El Makrini
16 F. Kurto
20 D. Werker
23 N. Rutjes
24 N. Souren
25 L. Milts
30 R. Novakovic

Coach: R. Molenaar

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
13 E. Room G
5 D. Schwaab D
20 J. Brenet D
3 D. Luckassen D
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
47 Mauro Júnior M
18 P. Rosario M
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
14 S. Lammers F
Bench (11)
29 Albert Gudmundsson
50 A. Obispo
7 G. Pereiro
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
4 S. Arias
16 D. Rigo
21 L. Koopmans
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal
35 D. Malen
52 C. Gakpo

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.