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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Den Haag
T U U S T
4–1
Full-time
Roda
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 19%
22%
15%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
52%
37%
Both score Ø 37%
48%
26%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 17. · Roda 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 27 22 3 2 +51 69
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 19 7 2 +36 64
3 Ajax 27 19 6 2 +39 63
4 Utrecht 25 12 7 6 +10 43
5 Vitesse 28 12 6 10 +9 42
6 Twente 27 11 8 8 +3 41
7 AZ Alkmaar 25 9 11 5 +8 38
8 Heerenveen 26 10 6 10 +7 36
9 Heracles 28 9 7 12 -6 34
10 Willem II 28 8 9 11 -7 33
11 Zwolle 28 8 7 13 -20 31
12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 7 7 14 -15 28
13 Nijmegen 28 7 7 14 -20 28
14 Groningen 26 5 11 10 -6 26
15 Excelsior 28 5 10 13 -18 25
16 Roda 27 4 11 12 -22 23
17 Den Haag 27 6 4 17 -27 22
18 Go Ahead Eagles 27 5 5 17 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Roda
1–0 S. Becker
D. Malone
1′
25′
🟨 Ognjen Gnjatic
2–0 A. El Khayati
28′
31′
🟨 Mohamed El Makrini
31′
🔁 M. El Makrini
↦ O. Gnjatić
44′
🟨 Martin Milec
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Papazoglou
↦ A. Ajagun
52′
🟨 Adil Auassar
Sheraldo Becker 🟨
56′
3–0 M. Havenaar
62′
R. Wolters 🔁
↦ S. Becker
69′
72′
🔁 T. Van Hyfte
↦ M. Paulissen
G. Fernandez 🔁
↦ M. Havenaar
77′
A. El Mahdioui 🔁
↦ D. Bakker
82′
4–0 G. Fernandez
R. Wolters
87′
89′
M. El Makrini 4–1
A. Auassar
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
2 D. Malone M
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
23 A. El Khayati M
77 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
11 R. Wolters
19 G. Fernandez
6 A. El Mahdioui
20 R. Schaken
24 R. de Boer
27 T. David
15 A. Tamata
1 E. Šetkus
12 T. Trybull
30 J. Schouten

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
2 M. Milec D
20 D. Werker D
8 A. Auassar D
14 A. Ajagun M
4 O. Gnjatić M
9 D. Schahin F
17 M. Rosheuvel M
19 M. Paulissen M
Bench (11)
30 M. El Makrini
25 A. Papazoglou
7 T. Van Hyfte
11 B. Badibanga
27 F. Ananou
22 Y. De Winter
35 T. Roex
21 S. Raykov
15 G. van Velzen
44 B. Verboom
6 N. Rutjes

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.