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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Heerenveen
S T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
66%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 6. · Den Haag 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 26 2 3 +48 80
2 Ajax 31 22 4 5 +49 70
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 20 5 6 +30 65
4 Feyenoord 31 17 6 8 +30 57
5 Zwolle 32 12 8 12 -5 44
6 Heerenveen 29 11 9 9 -1 42
7 Vitesse 27 11 8 8 +15 41
8 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 -2 41
9 Den Haag 29 11 7 11 -6 40
10 Excelsior 31 11 6 14 -10 39
11 Heracles 31 10 7 14 -17 37
12 VVV Venlo 31 7 13 11 -12 34
13 Groningen 31 7 12 12 -4 33
14 Willem II 31 9 6 16 -10 33
15 NAC Breda 31 8 6 17 -18 30
16 Roda 31 7 5 19 -29 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 31 6 6 19 -37 24
18 Twente 32 5 8 19 -21 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Den Haag
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Rojas
P. van Amersfoort
53′
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
55′
64′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ T. Goppel
65′
🔁 E. Falkenburg
↦ E. Hooi
72′
🔁 N. Kuipers
↦ T. David
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
74′
2–0 M. Rojas
74′
D. Schmidt 🔁
↦ M. Rojas
76′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
24 M. Hansen G
3 D. Høegh D
14 D. Bulthuis D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
19 P. van Amersfoort M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
7 M. Rojas F
Bench (9)
13 A. Zeneli
20 H. Veerman
12 D. Schmidt
4 N. Næss
16 L. Woudenberg
17 N. Mihajlović
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema
26 J. Bruijn

Coach: J. Streppel

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
27 T. David D
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
77 E. Hooi F
9 B. Johnsen F
26 T. Goppel F
Bench (10)
33 M. Lorenzen
30 E. Falkenburg
20 N. Kuipers
24 J. van der Sar
6 D. Gorter
14 D. Ladan
15 B. Kuipers
18 T. Coremans
21 E. Duplan
16 H. Asmelash

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.