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Primeira Liga
Referee: Helder Malheiro
Benfica
U S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
3,2
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 57%
75%
38%
Points per game
2,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
46%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
42%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
2,6
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

76% Possession 24%
14 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Benfica 2. · Maritimo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 25 21 4 0 +55 67
2 Benfica 24 18 5 1 +46 59
3 Sp Lisbon 25 18 5 2 +33 59
4 Sp Braga 24 17 1 6 +26 52
5 Rio Ave 24 11 4 9 +0 37
6 Chaves 24 10 6 8 -4 36
7 Boavista 25 10 3 12 -8 33
8 Maritimo 24 9 6 9 -9 33
9 Guimaraes 24 9 2 13 -14 29
10 Portimonense 24 7 6 11 -5 27
11 Belenenses 24 7 6 11 -12 27
12 Tondela 24 7 4 13 -10 25
13 Feirense 25 7 2 16 -11 23
14 Aves 24 5 7 12 -11 22
15 Vitoria Setubal 24 4 9 11 -18 21
16 Pacos Ferreira 24 5 6 13 -18 21
17 Estoril 24 6 3 15 -23 21
18 Moreirense 24 4 7 13 -17 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Maritimo
1–0 Jonas
André Almeida
16′
2–0 Álex Grimaldo
A. Živković
22′
3–0 Jonas
André Almeida
35′
41′
🟨 Pablo Santos
4–0 Jonas
42′
Half-time 4–0
54′
🟨 Bebeto
57′
🟥 João Gamboa
61′
🔁 Fabricio Baiano
↦ Valente
A. Samaris 🔁
↦ L. Fejsa
67′
R. Jiménez 🔁
↦ Rafa Silva
73′
74′
🔁 Diney
↦ Zainadine Junior
Douglas Pereira 🔁
↦ André Almeida
78′
5–0 A. Živković
81′
83′
🔁 Jean Cleber
↦ Fábio China
Pizzi 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Fabricio Baiano
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Benfica

4-1-4-1
30 Bruno Varela G
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
66 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
17 A. Živković M
27 Rafa Silva F
22 F. Cervi F
10 Jonas F
Bench (7)
7 A. Samaris
9 R. Jiménez
8 Douglas Pereira
1 M. Svilar
4 Luisão
14 H. Seferović
90 João Carvalho

Coach: Rui Vitória

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
94 Charles G
23 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
17 Rúben Ferreira D
4 Pablo D
45 Fábio China D
66 Fabio Pacheco M
8 J. Correa M
21 Gamboa M
33 Valente M
95 Joel F
Bench (7)
20 Fabricio Baiano
24 Diney
15 Jean Cleber
1 A. Abedzadeh
7 Ibson
9 Rodrigo Pinho
14 Luís Martins

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Helder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.