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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
1–2
Full-time
Lokeren
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
54%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Lokeren 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Kortrijk 28 11 6 11 +2 39
3 Antwerp 28 9 11 8 -3 38
4 Anderlecht 18 11 4 3 +12 37
5 St Truiden 28 9 9 10 -11 36
6 Gent 19 10 5 4 +17 35
7 Beveren 28 9 8 11 +2 35
8 Charleroi 18 9 7 2 +14 34
9 Waregem 28 10 4 14 -6 34
10 Oostende 28 9 6 13 +1 33
11 Genk 19 8 8 3 +10 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 -14 30
13 Lokeren 28 7 7 14 -15 28
14 Standard 18 7 6 5 +3 27
15 Eupen 28 5 9 14 -19 24
16 Mechelen 28 5 9 14 -19 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Lokeren
2′
M. Marić 0–1
40′
🟨 Jose Francisco Cevallos
41′
🟨 Steve De Ridder
Benjamin van Durmen 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
J. Bolingi 🔁
↦ T. Mézague
46′
Giorgos Galitsios 🟨
49′
1–1 D. Rotariu
S. Amallah
56′
67′
🔁 B. Straetman
↦ G. Hupperts
71′
J. Filipović 1–2
C. Petit 🔁
↦ J. Bolingi
76′
Taiwo Awoniyi 🟥
77′
79′
🔁 J. Michel
↦ S. De Ridder
N. Debaisieux 🔁
↦ G. Galitsios
85′
86′
🔁 J. Mendy
↦ T. De Sutter
Selim Amallah 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

1 O. Werner G
13 G. Galitsios D
28 J. Huyghebaert D
4 T. Mézague D
31 B. Godeau D
3 N. De Medina
95 D. Rotariu F
6 O. Govea M
30 B. Van Durmen
21 S. Amallah M
18 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (7)
10 J. Bolingi
19 C. Petit
29 N. Debaisieux
8 M. Aidara
25 C. Diedhiou
27 M. Vojvoda
33 J. Butez

Coach: F. Defays

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
26 A. Monsecour D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder M
23 L. Mareček M
10 Francisco Cevallos
9 T. De Sutter F
17 G. Hupperts F
Bench (7)
11 B. Straetman
8 J. Michel
18 J. Mendy
3 G. Van Moerzeke
2 S. Marzo
12 O. De Wolf
14 M. Terki

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.