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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Standard
T S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Mechelen
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 18/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
39%
18%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
61%
36%
Both score Ø 59%
72%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

6 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 14. · Mechelen 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Kortrijk 28 11 6 11 +2 39
3 Antwerp 28 9 11 8 -3 38
4 Anderlecht 18 11 4 3 +12 37
5 St Truiden 28 9 9 10 -11 36
6 Gent 19 10 5 4 +17 35
7 Beveren 28 9 8 11 +2 35
8 Charleroi 18 9 7 2 +14 34
9 Waregem 28 10 4 14 -6 34
10 Oostende 28 9 6 13 +1 33
11 Genk 19 8 8 3 +10 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 -14 30
13 Lokeren 28 7 7 14 -15 28
14 Standard 18 7 6 5 +3 27
15 Eupen 28 5 9 14 -19 24
16 Mechelen 28 5 9 14 -19 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jul -17 Mechelen – Standard 1–1 26. Feb -17 Standard – Mechelen 2–2 20. Nov -16 Mechelen – Standard 2–1 13. Mar -16 Mechelen – Standard 4–0 28. Oct -15 Standard – Mechelen 2–1

Match report

Standard Mechelen
5′
⚽ H. Bandé 0–1
1–1 R. Emond ⚽
R. Marin
34′
43′
⚽ G. Mera 1–2
M. Rits
Half-time 1–2
Carlinhos 🔁
↦ D. Čop
46′
2–2 C. Luyindama ⚽
R. Marin
49′
3–2 Carlinhos ⚽
R. Marin
52′
Uche Agbo 🟨
58′
Mehdi Carcela-González 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Ahmed El Messaoudi
71′
🔁 N. Pedersen
↦ A. El Messaoudi
84′
🔁 F. Bećiraj
↦ M. Rits
M. Djenepo 🔁
↦ M. Carcela
89′
G. Cimirot 🔁
↦ R. Marin
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Standard

8 G. Ochoa G
24 G. Koutroumbis D
29 L. Cavanda D
5 U. Agbo M
21 C. Fai D
26 C. Luyindama
10 M. Carcela M
22 Edmilson Junior M
18 R. Marin M
7 D. Čop F
9 R. Emond F
Bench (7)
25 Carlinhos
19 M. Djenepo
6 G. Cimirot
1 J. Gillet
2 R. Goreux
15 S. Pocognoli
34 K. Laifis

Coach: Sá Pinto

Mechelen

26 C. Coosemans G
18 M. Bagayoko D
15 E. Cocalić D
6 G. Mera D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
28 F. Camus M
11 M. Rits M
40 Y. Sylla M
16 R. Schoofs M
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (7)
9 N. Pedersen
19 F. Bećiraj
2 L. Paulussen
7 T. Matthys
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris
77 G. Claes

Coach: D. van Wijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.