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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Club Brugge
S S U S U
2–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 18/28 matches
Win Ø 59%
78%
39%
Points per game
2,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
83%
61%
Both score Ø 63%
72%
54%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,6
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Corners 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Kortrijk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Kortrijk 28 11 6 11 +2 39
3 Antwerp 28 9 11 8 -3 38
4 Anderlecht 18 11 4 3 +12 37
5 St Truiden 28 9 9 10 -11 36
6 Gent 19 10 5 4 +17 35
7 Beveren 28 9 8 11 +2 35
8 Charleroi 18 9 7 2 +14 34
9 Waregem 28 10 4 14 -6 34
10 Oostende 28 9 6 13 +1 33
11 Genk 19 8 8 3 +10 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 -14 30
13 Lokeren 28 7 7 14 -15 28
14 Standard 18 7 6 5 +3 27
15 Eupen 28 5 9 14 -19 24
16 Mechelen 28 5 9 14 -19 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Kortrijk
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Abdoulay Diaby
H. Vanaken
51′
62′
J. Stojanović 1–1
67′
🔁 S. De Smet
↦ J. Stojanović
E. Dennis 🔁
↦ Wesley
68′
2–1 A. Limbombe
R. Vormer
79′
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ Abdoulay Diaby
81′
83′
🔁 T. Chevalier
↦ A. Ajagun
88′
🔁 B. Verboom
↦ A. Papazoglou
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

32 K. Vermeer G
24 S. Denswil D
15 M. Mitrović D
44 B. Mechele D
21 D. Cools D
25 R. Vormer M
20 H. Vanaken M
6 J. Clasie M
10 Abdoulay Diaby F
17 A. Limbombe F
7 Wesley F
Bench (7)
42 E. Dennis
8 L. Refaelov
1 V. Gabulov
2 A. Scholz
14 I. Tomečak
30 M. Nakamba
96 A. Touba

Coach: I. Leko

Kortrijk

28 T. Kaminski G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
3 E. Makarenko D
12 E. Palmer-Brown D
24 Y. Attal D
15 C. Lepoint M
8 A. Ajagun M
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
10 A. Papazoglou F
11 J. Stojanović M
Bench (7)
7 S. De Smet
9 T. Chevalier
23 B. Verboom
1 S. Bruzzese
17 M. Hoxha
19 T. Ivanof
31 A. Van Loo

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.