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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Twente

U S T S T

2–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 54%

39%

68%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 9

0 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 6. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	29	23	3	3	+58	72
2	Ajax	29	21	6	2	+43	69
3	PSV Eindhoven	28	19	7	2	+36	64
4	Utrecht	26	13	7	6	+12	46
5	Vitesse	29	13	6	10	+10	45
6	Twente	28	11	8	9	+2	41
7	Heerenveen	27	11	6	10	+10	39
8	AZ Alkmaar	26	9	11	6	+5	38
9	Heracles	29	9	7	13	-7	34
10	Willem II	29	8	9	12	-8	33
11	Zwolle	29	8	7	14	-21	31
12	Groningen	27	6	11	10	-4	29
13	Sparta Rotterdam	29	7	7	15	-18	28
14	Nijmegen	29	7	7	15	-22	28
15	Den Haag	29	8	4	17	-23	28
16	Roda	29	5	11	13	-24	26
17	Excelsior	29	5	10	14	-20	25
18	Go Ahead Eagles	29	6	5	18	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+28	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
4	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+8	24
6	Twente	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+7	23
8	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	7	2	+6	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Den Haag	14	5	2	7	-3	17
14	Roda	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Willem II	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Groningen	14	3	7	4	-5	16
17	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-9	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	4	1	+19	31
2	Feyenoord	14	10	1	3	+17	31
3	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	4	4	-1	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
9	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-12	15
10	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
11	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
12	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-20	11
13	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-15	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	15	2	4	9	-20	10
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	3	10	-19	9
16	Roda	14	1	6	7	-20	9
17	Nijmegen	15	2	3	10	-21	9
18	Excelsior	14	1	5	8	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.