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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Den Haag
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
30%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 12. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 30 23 4 3 +58 73
2 Ajax 30 22 6 2 +47 72
3 PSV Eindhoven 30 20 8 2 +41 68
4 Utrecht 27 14 7 6 +15 49
5 Vitesse 30 14 6 10 +12 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 28 10 12 6 +6 42
7 Twente 30 11 9 10 -1 42
8 Heerenveen 28 11 6 11 +8 39
9 Heracles 31 10 7 14 -5 37
10 Willem II 30 8 9 13 -13 33
11 Zwolle 30 8 8 14 -21 32
12 Den Haag 30 9 4 17 -22 31
13 Roda 31 6 12 13 -22 30
14 Groningen 28 6 11 11 -5 29
15 Excelsior 30 6 10 14 -19 28
16 Sparta Rotterdam 31 7 7 17 -21 28
17 Nijmegen 30 7 7 16 -26 28
18 Go Ahead Eagles 30 6 5 19 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag PSV Eindhoven
7′
D. Pröpper 0–1
J. Locadia
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Gastón Pereiro
69′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ G. Pereiro
R. Schaken 🔁
↦ E. Duplan
78′
78′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ S. de Jong
Thomas Meissner 🟨
80′
G. Fernandez 🔁
↦ D. Gorter
82′
R. Wolters 🔁
↦ S. Becker
87′
1–1 M. Havenaar
87′
89′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ J. Locadia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
2 D. Malone M
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
14 D. Gorter M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
23 A. El Khayati M
77 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
20 R. Schaken
19 G. Fernandez
11 R. Wolters
1 E. Šetkus
4 T. Beugelsdijk
6 A. El Mahdioui
12 T. Trybull
15 A. Tamata
24 R. de Boer
27 T. David

Coach: A. Groenendijk

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
18 A. Guardado M
10 S. de Jong M
6 D. Pröpper M
28 M. van Ginkel M
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (9)
9 L. de Jong
23 B. Ramselaar
27 S. Bergwijn
5 D. Schwaab
21 L. Koopmans
25 O. Zinchenko
29 M. Koch
31 H. Jurjus
43 P. Rosario

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.