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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Sassuolo

U T T T U

2–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

39%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

58%

45%

Both score Ø 62%

58%

65%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

11 Corners 6

5 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 15. · Sampdoria 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	32	26	2	4	+44	80
2	Roma	32	23	3	6	+43	72
3	Napoli	31	20	7	4	+39	67
4	Lazio	32	18	7	7	+18	61
5	Atalanta	32	18	6	8	+18	60
6	Milan	32	17	7	8	+14	58
7	Inter	32	17	5	10	+22	56
8	Fiorentina	32	14	10	8	+9	52
9	Torino	32	11	12	9	+7	45
10	Sampdoria	31	12	9	10	+2	45
11	Udinese	31	11	7	13	+1	40
12	Chievo	32	11	5	16	-14	38
13	Cagliari	32	11	5	16	-17	38
14	Bologna	32	9	8	15	-17	35
15	Sassuolo	31	9	5	17	-11	32
16	Genoa	32	7	9	16	-21	30
17	Empoli	32	6	8	18	-30	26
18	Crotone	32	5	6	21	-26	21
19	Palermo	32	3	7	22	-42	16
20	Pescara	32	2	8	22	-39	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	16	0	0	+32	48
2	Roma	16	14	1	1	+31	43
3	Milan	16	11	2	3	+13	35
4	Napoli	16	10	4	2	+17	34
5	Inter	16	10	3	3	+21	33
6	Lazio	16	10	2	4	+11	32
7	Atalanta	15	10	2	3	+11	32
8	Torino	16	8	7	1	+15	31
9	Fiorentina	16	8	7	1	+9	31
10	Sampdoria	16	8	5	3	+8	29
11	Cagliari	16	8	3	5	+1	27
12	Udinese	16	7	3	6	+6	24
13	Chievo	16	6	4	6	-1	22
14	Bologna	16	6	2	8	-6	20
15	Genoa	16	4	7	5	-1	19
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Crotone	16	4	3	9	-7	15
19	Pescara	16	1	5	10	-17	8
20	Palermo	16	1	3	12	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+22	33
2	Juventus	16	10	2	4	+12	32
3	Roma	16	9	2	5	+12	29
4	Lazio	16	8	5	3	+7	29
5	Atalanta	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Milan	16	6	5	5	+1	23
7	Inter	16	7	2	7	+1	23
8	Fiorentina	16	6	3	7	+0	21
9	Sassuolo	16	4	4	8	-5	16
10	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-6	16
12	Chievo	16	5	1	10	-13	16
13	Bologna	16	3	6	7	-11	15
14	Torino	16	3	5	8	-8	14
15	Cagliari	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Genoa	16	3	2	11	-20	11
17	Empoli	16	2	4	10	-18	10
18	Palermo	16	2	4	10	-21	10
19	Crotone	16	1	3	12	-19	6
20	Pescara	16	1	3	12	-22	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.