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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Nijmegen

T T T S T

0–3

Full-time

Utrecht

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 26/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

27%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

46%

48%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

61%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

3 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 11. · Utrecht 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	26	21	3	2	+50	66
2	Ajax	26	19	5	2	+39	62
3	PSV Eindhoven	26	17	7	2	+33	58
4	Twente	27	11	8	8	+3	41
5	Vitesse	26	11	6	9	+9	39
6	Utrecht	23	10	7	6	+5	37
7	Heerenveen	24	10	6	8	+11	36
8	AZ Alkmaar	24	8	11	5	+4	35
9	Willem II	27	8	9	10	-5	33
10	Heracles	26	8	7	11	-7	31
11	Nijmegen	26	7	7	12	-16	28
12	Zwolle	26	7	6	13	-22	27
13	Groningen	26	5	11	10	-6	26
14	Sparta Rotterdam	26	6	7	13	-15	25
15	Excelsior	26	5	8	13	-18	23
16	Roda	27	4	11	12	-22	23
17	Den Haag	26	6	4	16	-23	22
18	Go Ahead Eagles	26	5	5	16	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	12	2	0	+33	38
2	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+24	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+16	30
4	Twente	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	Heerenveen	12	6	4	2	+9	22
6	Heracles	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Vitesse	13	6	2	5	+6	20
8	Nijmegen	13	5	4	4	+2	19
9	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+4	18
10	Willem II	14	4	5	5	-4	17
11	AZ Alkmaar	12	3	7	2	+2	16
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	4	4	+1	16
13	Excelsior	13	4	4	5	+0	16
14	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	-9	15
15	Roda	14	3	5	6	-5	14
16	Den Haag	13	4	2	7	-6	14
17	Groningen	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	1	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+15	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	8	4	1	+17	28
3	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+17	28
4	Vitesse	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	4	3	+2	19
6	Utrecht	12	5	4	3	+1	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	13	4	4	5	-1	16
9	Heerenveen	12	4	2	6	+2	14
10	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
11	Zwolle	13	3	3	7	-13	12
12	Heracles	13	2	4	7	-13	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	3	9	-16	9
14	Roda	13	1	6	6	-17	9
15	Nijmegen	13	2	3	8	-18	9
16	Den Haag	13	2	2	9	-17	8
17	Go Ahead Eagles	13	1	4	8	-13	7
18	Excelsior	13	1	4	8	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.