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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Twente
S U S T S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
41%
19%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
59%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
22 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 6. · Go Ahead Eagles 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 28 22 3 3 +50 69
2 Ajax 28 20 6 2 +40 66
3 PSV Eindhoven 28 19 7 2 +36 64
4 Utrecht 25 12 7 6 +10 43
5 Vitesse 28 12 6 10 +9 42
6 Twente 27 11 8 8 +3 41
7 AZ Alkmaar 25 9 11 5 +8 38
8 Heerenveen 26 10 6 10 +7 36
9 Heracles 28 9 7 12 -6 34
10 Willem II 28 8 9 11 -7 33
11 Zwolle 28 8 7 13 -20 31
12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 7 7 14 -15 28
13 Nijmegen 28 7 7 14 -20 28
14 Groningen 26 5 11 10 -6 26
15 Excelsior 28 5 10 13 -18 25
16 Den Haag 28 7 4 17 -24 25
17 Roda 28 4 11 13 -25 23
18 Go Ahead Eagles 27 5 5 17 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Go Ahead Eagles
20′
🟨 Xandro Schenk
1–0 E. Ünal
F. Jensen
45′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Marcel Ritzmaier
Yaw Yeboah 🟨
51′
53′
S. Hendriks 1–1
M. Ritzmaier
Jeroen van der Lely 🟨
66′
66′
M. Ritzmaier 1–2
O. Assaidi 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
74′
C. Ede 🔁
↦ Y. Yeboah
75′
Stefan Thesker 🟨
79′
J. Hooiveld 🔁
↦ B. Celina
82′
86′
🔁 L. Rexhepi
↦ S. Hendriks
88′
🔁 J. Suk
↦ D. Crowley
91′
🔁 S. Locigno
↦ E. Manu
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
3 J. Andersen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
19 F. Jensen M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (10)
8 O. Assaidi
7 C. Ede
4 J. Hooiveld
13 P. Boevink
6 D. Trajkovski
12 T. Hölscher
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
25 P. Bijen
27 E. Bunjaki

Coach: R. Hake

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (8)
5 L. Rexhepi
8 J. Suk
17 S. Locigno
9 L. de Kogel
11 L. Marengo
13 E. Cummins
23 N. Nieveld
35 R. Achenteh

Coach: R. Maaskant

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.