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Ligue 1

Referee: Mikael Lesage

Nice

S U U S S

3–1

Full-time

Nancy

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Nancy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

47%

31%

Both score Ø 36%

53%

19%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 3. · Nancy 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	31	23	5	3	+62	74
2	Paris SG	32	23	5	4	+45	74
3	Nice	32	20	10	2	+26	70
4	Lyon	32	17	3	12	+26	54
5	Bordeaux	32	13	10	9	+7	49
6	Marseille	32	13	9	10	+6	48
7	St Etienne	31	11	12	8	+10	45
8	Nantes	32	11	9	12	-15	42
9	Toulouse	32	10	11	11	+0	41
10	Guingamp	32	11	8	13	-5	41
11	Rennes	32	9	13	10	-8	40
12	Angers	33	11	6	16	-11	39
13	Lille	32	10	7	15	-8	37
14	Montpellier	32	9	9	14	-10	36
15	Metz	31	9	8	14	-30	35
16	Caen	32	9	5	18	-23	32
17	Nancy	32	8	7	17	-17	31
18	Lorient	32	9	4	19	-25	31
19	Dijon	32	6	11	15	-10	29
20	Bastia	32	6	10	16	-20	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	15	13	1	1	+41	40
2	Nice	16	12	4	0	+21	40
3	Paris SG	16	11	5	0	+28	38
4	Marseille	16	10	4	2	+14	34
5	Lyon	16	11	0	5	+20	33
6	Guingamp	15	9	3	3	+11	30
7	Rennes	16	8	6	2	+9	30
8	Bordeaux	17	8	5	4	+6	29
9	Toulouse	16	8	4	4	+11	28
10	St Etienne	16	7	7	2	+11	28
11	Montpellier	16	7	5	4	+9	26
12	Angers	17	7	5	5	+5	26
13	Metz	15	6	5	4	-7	23
14	Caen	16	7	2	7	-9	23
15	Nantes	16	6	4	6	-8	22
16	Dijon	16	5	5	6	+3	20
17	Nancy	16	6	2	8	-1	20
18	Lorient	16	6	2	8	-8	20
19	Bastia	16	3	9	4	+0	18
20	Lille	16	5	3	8	-4	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	12	0	4	+17	36
2	Monaco	16	10	4	2	+21	34
3	Nice	16	8	6	2	+5	30
4	Lyon	16	6	3	7	+6	21
5	Bordeaux	15	5	5	5	+1	20
6	Nantes	16	5	5	6	-7	20
7	Lille	16	5	4	7	-4	19
8	St Etienne	15	4	5	6	-1	17
9	Marseille	16	3	5	8	-8	14
10	Toulouse	16	2	7	7	-11	13
11	Angers	16	4	1	11	-16	13
12	Metz	16	3	3	10	-23	12
13	Guingamp	17	2	5	10	-16	11
14	Nancy	16	2	5	9	-16	11
15	Lorient	16	3	2	11	-17	11
16	Rennes	16	1	7	8	-17	10
17	Montpellier	16	2	4	10	-19	10
18	Bastia	16	3	1	12	-20	10
19	Dijon	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Caen	16	2	3	11	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.