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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
2–0
Full-time
Roda
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 17. · Roda 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +10 13
3 Den Haag 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Excelsior 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 Ajax 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Heerenveen 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Twente 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Nijmegen 5 1 2 2 -5 5
13 Willem II 5 1 1 3 -6 4
14 Roda 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Zwolle 5 0 2 3 -8 2
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 1 3 -7 1
18 Groningen 4 0 1 3 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Roda
7′
🟨 Adil Auassar
1–0 K. Brands
27′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 M. Paulissen
↦ A. Auassar
D. Maatsen 🔁
↦ L. de Kogel
63′
66′
🟨 Simon Church
H. Ojamaa 🔁
↦ J. Antonia
71′
73′
🔁 Marcos Gullón
↦ D. De Silva
T. Daemen 🔁
↦ K. Brands
79′
85′
🔁 N. Mytides
↦ M. Rosheuvel
2–0 D. Maatsen
T. Zwarthoed
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
2 L. Lambooij M
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
10 K. Brands M
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
11 R. Wolters F
9 L. de Kogel F
77 J. Antonia F
Bench (12)
14 D. Maatsen
22 H. Ojamaa
26 T. Daemen
7 S. Bytyqi
17 S. Locigno
13 E. Cummins
35 R. Achenteh
33 J. van Ewijk
8 J. Suk
19 S. Hendriks
5 K. Teijsse
23 N. Nieveld

Coach: H. de Koning

Roda

4-4-1-1
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
27 F. Ananou D
6 N. Rutjes M
8 A. Auassar D
7 T. Van Hyfte M
14 A. Ajagun M
10 D. De Silva M
23 S. Church F
17 M. Rosheuvel M
Bench (9)
19 M. Paulissen
16 Marcos Gullón
11 N. Mytides
22 Y. De Winter
21 D. Boysen
20 D. Werker
24 F. Noor
4 R. Brouwers
29 T. Blättler

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.