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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Vitesse
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Groningen
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Groningen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 7 7 0 0 +19 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Twente 7 4 0 3 +2 12
6 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Vitesse 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Excelsior 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Den Haag 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Heracles 7 1 3 3 -3 6
12 Groningen 7 1 3 3 -4 6
13 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -6 6
14 Nijmegen 7 1 3 3 -7 6
15 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Zwolle 8 1 2 5 -13 5
18 Roda 7 0 3 4 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.