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Pro League

Referee: Bart Vertenten

Eupen

U T S T T

1–4

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

88%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

2,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

8 Corners 3

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 13. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Standard	8	4	3	1	+7	15
3	Kortrijk	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Gent	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Mechelen	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+6	11
8	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+3	11
9	Genk	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	St Truiden	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Oostende	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Lokeren	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Beveren	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	2	0	6	-8	6
16	Westerlo	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Kortrijk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Standard	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	St Truiden	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Oostende	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Genk	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Lokeren	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Beveren	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-8	3
16	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Standard	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Kortrijk	4	1	1	2	-4	4
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Genk	4	1	0	3	-3	3
10	Eupen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
11	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-7	3
12	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Lokeren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-6	1
16	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.