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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Roda
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
0%
14%
Points per game
0,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,4
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 18. · Nijmegen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 7 7 0 0 +19 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 +4 13
6 Twente 7 4 0 3 +2 12
7 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Excelsior 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Den Haag 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Heracles 7 1 3 3 -3 6
12 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -5 6
13 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -6 6
14 Nijmegen 7 1 3 3 -7 6
15 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Zwolle 8 1 2 5 -13 5
18 Roda 7 0 3 4 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Nijmegen
32′
🟨 Kevin Mayi
Half-time 0–0
A. Ajagun 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
59′
59′
🔁 Q. Owusu-Abeyie
↦ T. Awoniyi
62′
🟨 Janio Bikel
67′
🔁 F. Kadioglu
↦ Janio Bikel
Tom van Hyfte 🟨
71′
M. Rosheuvel 🔁
↦ N. Mytides
72′
78′
K. Mayi 0–1
Q. Owusu-Abeyie
D. De Silva 🔁
↦ F. Noor
83′
86′
🔁 M. Rayhi
↦ J. von Haacke
Adil Auassar 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Roda

4-3-3
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
20 D. Werker D
6 N. Rutjes M
8 A. Auassar D
7 T. Van Hyfte M
16 Marcos Gullón M
24 F. Noor M
11 N. Mytides F
19 M. Paulissen M
Bench (10)
14 A. Ajagun
17 M. Rosheuvel
10 D. De Silva
4 R. Brouwers
21 D. Boysen
22 Y. De Winter
26 N. Wolters
29 T. Blättler
31 D. Stassar
32 A. Yasar

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Nijmegen

4-3-3
1 J. Delle G
6 M. Dyrestam D
3 D. Dumić D
24 A. Fomitschow D
4 W. Golla D
34 G. Breinburg M
19 J. von Haacke M
8 Janio Bikel M
14 R. Ofosu F
18 K. Mayi F
9 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (10)
21 Q. Owusu-Abeyie
16 F. Kadioglu
20 M. Rayhi
2 M. Heinloth
7 S. Lundholm
10 S. Mauk
15 R. Buwalda
17 J. Grot
22 J. Smits
23 M. van Duin

Coach: P. Hyballa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.