← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
Nacional
T T T S S
0–4
Full-time
Porto
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Nacional Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 19
0 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 6
7 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nacional 13. · Porto 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 +7 16
3 Porto 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Sp Braga 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 Chaves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Guimaraes 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Rio Ave 7 3 1 3 +0 10
8 Belenenses 7 2 3 2 -2 9
9 Feirense 6 3 0 3 -3 9
10 Pacos Ferreira 7 2 2 3 +0 8
11 Vitoria Setubal 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Estoril 7 2 1 4 -4 7
13 Nacional 6 2 0 4 -1 6
14 Maritimo 6 2 0 4 -4 6
15 Boavista 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 Tondela 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Arouca 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Moreirense 6 1 1 4 -4 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nacional Porto
11′
Diogo Jota 0–1
H. Herrera
Tobias Figueiredo 🟨
13′
38′
Diogo Jota 0–2
André Silva
44′
Diogo Jota 0–3
M. Layún
Half-time 0–3
Jota 🔁
↦ Ali Ghazal
46′
Ricardo Gomes 🔁
↦ Witi
46′
55′
🟨 Miguel Layún
58′
André Silva 0–4
Otavinho
Roniel 🔁
↦ Vítor Gonçalves
63′
73′
🔁 M. Pereira
↦ Diogo Jota
76′
🔁 Y. Brahimi
↦ Otavinho
80′
🔁 Rúben Neves
↦ Danilo Pereira
87′
🟨 Rúben Neves
Rui Correia 🟨
88′
Tobias Figueiredo 🟨
88′
Tobias Figueiredo 🟥
88′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Nacional

5-4-1
1 Rui Silva G
4 Tobias Figueiredo D
5 Sequeira D
3 César D
33 Rui Correia D
8 Washington Santana M
20 Vítor Gonçalves M
6 Ali Ghazal M
7 Salvador Agra M
9 O. Hamzaoui F
17 Witi M
Bench (7)
19 Jota
23 Ricardo Gomes
21 Roniel
16 Vítor Hugo
24 O. Framelin
66 Geraldo
55 Mauro Cerqueira

Coach: Manuel Machado

Porto

4-3-1-2
1 Casillas G
5 Ivan Marcano D
21 M. Layún D
13 Alex Telles D
28 Felipe D
16 H. Herrera M
22 Danilo Pereira M
30 Óliver Torres M
25 Otavinho M
19 Diogo Jota F
10 André Silva F
Bench (7)
2 M. Pereira
8 Y. Brahimi
6 Rúben Neves
4 W. Boly
9 L. Depoitre
12 José Sá
20 André André

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.