← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: Sébastien Desiage
Lille
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Nancy
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lille Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
14%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
57%
14%
Both score Ø 43%
71%
14%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,4
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 20. · Nancy 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 7 5 2 0 +8 17
2 Paris SG 8 5 1 2 +11 16
3 Monaco 7 5 1 1 +6 16
4 Toulouse 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Bordeaux 8 4 1 3 +1 13
6 Metz 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Rennes 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 St Etienne 7 3 3 1 +4 12
9 Guingamp 8 3 2 3 +1 11
10 Lyon 7 3 1 3 +4 10
11 Bastia 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Angers 7 3 0 4 -1 9
13 Marseille 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Dijon 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Caen 7 2 1 4 -8 7
16 Montpellier 7 1 3 3 -6 6
17 Lorient 7 2 0 5 -7 6
18 Nantes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 Nancy 7 1 2 4 -6 5
20 Lille 7 1 1 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Nancy
18′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Éric Bauthéac 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ M. Amalfitano
46′
49′
🟨 Tobias Badila
54′
🔁 I. Dia
↦ F. Maouassa
I. Amadou 🔁
↦ R. Mavuba
60′
74′
🟨 Michaël Chrétien
1–0 Éder
75′
A. Soumaoro 🔁
↦ M. Baša
78′
84′
🔁 C. Mandanne
↦ M. Chrétien
84′
🔁 L. Puyo
↦ A. Koura
Éder 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 V. Enyeama G
25 M. Baša D
5 R. Civelli D
15 J. Palmieri D
2 S. Corchia D
10 M. Amalfitano M
24 R. Mavuba M
4 Y. Sankhare M
11 E. Bauthéac M
17 Rony Lopes M
19 Éder F
Bench (7)
33 Y. Bissouma
6 I. Amadou
23 A. Soumaoro
9 Y. Benzia
13 S. Sunzu
16 M. Maignan
27 N. Sliti

Coach: F. Antonetti

Nancy

5-4-1
16 G. N'Dy Assembé G
20 M. Chrétien D
28 J. Cétout M
3 T. Badila D
2 C. Lenglet D
24 E. Cabaco D
17 F. Maouassa D
6 Y. Ait Bennasser M
8 V. Marchetti M
9 M. Dalé F
23 A. Koura F
Bench (7)
10 I. Dia
12 C. Mandanne
19 L. Puyo
1 S. Chernik
5 A. Diarra
14 J. Cuffaut
25 B. Pedretti

Coach: P. Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sébastien Desiage · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.