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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 9. · Go Ahead Eagles 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Nijmegen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Ajax 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Twente 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Willem II 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Roda 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Zwolle 3 0 1 2 -7 1
17 Groningen 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
25′
🔁 N. Nieveld
↦ X. Schenk
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Joey Suk
65′
🔁 J. Groenbast
↦ Robin van der Meer
T. Verhaar 🔁
↦ C. Goodwin
69′
P. van Moorsel 🔁
↦ S. Spierings
69′
1–0 L. Brogno
85′
86′
🔁 K. Teijsse
↦ S. Duits
B. Vriends 🔁
↦ M. Dijkstra
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
8 M. Dijkstra M
3 F. Pinteaux D
2 D. Dumfries D
6 R. van Drongelen D
4 R. Sanusi M
10 S. Spierings F
7 L. Brogno F
11 C. Goodwin M
9 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (10)
16 T. Verhaar
13 P. van Moorsel
14 B. Vriends
17 Iván Calero
18 I. Alhalft
15 K. Dougall
12 S. Floranus
19 F. Stokkers
20 M. Verrips
30 B. Janssen

Coach: A. Pastoor

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
2 L. Lambooij M
15 Robin van der Meer D
4 X. Schenk D
21 K. Brands M
6 S. Duits M
8 J. Suk M
11 R. Wolters F
22 H. Ojamaa M
9 L. de Kogel F
Bench (12)
23 N. Nieveld
32 J. Groenbast
5 K. Teijsse
7 E. van Overbeek
10 J. van Ewijk
13 E. Cummins
14 D. Maatsen
18 O. Džepar
19 S. Hendriks
20 T. ten Den
26 T. Daemen
27 T. Dekker

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.