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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

AZ Alkmaar

U T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 39%

60%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

20%

50%

Both score Ø 19%

20%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,6

0,7

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Go Ahead Eagles 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Heerenveen	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Excelsior	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Heracles	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Groningen	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Nijmegen	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Roda	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Zwolle	7	0	2	5	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Roda	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.