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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Guingamp
T S S T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 17. · Strasbourg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 St Etienne 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Bordeaux 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Caen 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Toulouse 4 2 0 2 -3 6
9 Angers 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Troyes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Nantes 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Dijon 4 1 1 2 -5 4
15 Lille 3 1 0 2 -2 3
16 Nice 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Guingamp 3 1 0 2 -3 3
18 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Rennes 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Metz 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.