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Ligue 1
Referee: N Rainville
Angers
T S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Guingamp
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
43%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
43%
86%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 8. · Guingamp 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 St Etienne 8 4 3 1 +1 15
3 Lyon 7 4 1 2 +7 13
4 Marseille 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Lille 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Toulouse 7 3 2 2 -2 11
8 Angers 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Dijon 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Bordeaux 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Nice 8 3 1 4 -6 10
12 Nimes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Strasbourg 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Reims 7 2 2 3 -5 8
15 Amiens 7 2 1 4 -2 7
16 Caen 7 1 4 2 -2 7
17 Rennes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
18 Monaco 8 1 3 4 -3 6
19 Nantes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Guingamp 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Guingamp
Stéphane Bahoken 🟨
6′
Romain Thomas 🟨
27′
28′
🔁 N. Julan
↦ N. Roux
38′
🟨 Nicolas Benezet
Abdoulaye Bamba 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
47′
N. Benezet 0–1
L. Blas
51′
🟨 Pedro Rebocho
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ A. Bamba
56′
60′
🟨 Nathael Julan
W. Kanga 🔁
↦ V. Pajot
62′
T. Mangani 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
73′
83′
🔁 G. Fofana
↦ É. Didot
88′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ L. Blas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-3-3
16 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
6 V. Pajot M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
15 P. Capelle
11 W. Kanga
5 T. Mangani
1 Z. Boucher
2 R. Aït Nouri
7 H. Manzala
9 Cristian López

Coach: S. Moulin

Guingamp

3-4-3
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
22 É. Didot M
8 L. Deaux M
10 N. Benezet M
7 L. Blas M
26 N. Roux F
Bench (7)
14 N. Julan
18 G. Fofana
24 M. Coco
12 Y. N'Gbakoto
16 M. Caillard
25 C. Traoré
27 F. Tabanou

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.