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Ligue 1

Referee: Stephane Jochem

St Etienne

U S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Troyes

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 30%

36%

24%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

52%

42%

Both score Ø 39%

42%

36%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

18 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 9. · Troyes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	33	28	3	2	+80	87
2	Monaco	34	21	7	6	+35	70
3	Lyon	34	20	9	5	+39	69
4	Marseille	34	20	9	5	+31	69
5	Nice	34	14	8	12	+0	50
6	Rennes	34	13	9	12	+2	48
7	Montpellier	34	10	16	8	+2	46
8	Nantes	34	12	10	12	-4	46
9	St Etienne	33	12	10	11	-7	46
10	Guingamp	34	12	9	13	-8	45
11	Bordeaux	33	12	7	14	-4	43
12	Dijon	34	11	9	14	-18	42
13	Amiens	34	11	7	16	-6	40
14	Angers	34	8	13	13	-8	37
15	Caen	33	10	6	17	-19	36
16	Strasbourg	34	8	10	16	-22	34
17	Toulouse	33	8	9	16	-13	33
18	Troyes	33	8	5	20	-22	29
19	Lille	34	7	8	19	-25	29
20	Metz	34	6	8	20	-33	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	17	0	0	+57	51
2	Monaco	17	14	2	1	+29	44
3	Marseille	17	10	5	2	+23	35
4	Lyon	16	9	5	2	+14	32
5	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	Dijon	17	9	3	5	+4	30
7	Nice	18	9	3	6	+3	30
8	Amiens	17	7	4	6	+5	25
9	St Etienne	16	6	7	3	+1	25
10	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+1	25
11	Nantes	17	7	4	6	-1	25
12	Caen	16	7	3	6	-1	24
13	Toulouse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
14	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	+2	23
15	Strasbourg	17	6	5	6	-1	23
16	Angers	17	5	6	6	-3	21
17	Rennes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
18	Troyes	17	6	3	8	-4	21
19	Lille	17	4	6	7	-6	18
20	Metz	17	3	4	10	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+25	37
2	Paris SG	16	11	3	2	+23	36
3	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+8	34
4	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+5	27
5	Monaco	17	7	5	5	+6	26
6	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	+0	23
7	Nantes	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-8	21
9	Nice	16	5	5	6	-3	20
10	Bordeaux	17	5	3	9	-5	18
11	Angers	17	3	7	7	-5	16
12	Amiens	17	4	3	10	-11	15
13	Guingamp	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	Metz	17	3	4	10	-17	13
15	Caen	17	3	3	11	-18	12
16	Dijon	17	2	6	9	-22	12
17	Lille	17	3	2	12	-19	11
18	Strasbourg	17	2	5	10	-21	11
19	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-15	10
20	Troyes	16	2	2	12	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.