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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Strasbourg
T T U U U
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
25%
34%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
66%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 16. · St Etienne 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 32 27 3 2 +74 84
2 Monaco 32 21 7 4 +43 70
3 Lyon 33 19 9 5 +36 66
4 Marseille 32 18 9 5 +26 63
5 Rennes 32 13 8 11 +3 47
6 Nice 33 13 8 12 -1 47
7 Montpellier 32 10 16 6 +5 46
8 Nantes 32 12 8 12 -4 44
9 St Etienne 32 11 10 11 -8 43
10 Guingamp 32 11 8 13 -10 41
11 Dijon 32 11 8 13 -15 41
12 Bordeaux 32 11 7 14 -6 40
13 Angers 33 8 13 12 -6 37
14 Amiens 33 10 7 16 -8 37
15 Caen 32 10 5 17 -19 35
16 Strasbourg 32 8 10 14 -19 34
17 Toulouse 32 7 9 16 -15 30
18 Troyes 32 8 5 19 -21 29
19 Lille 32 7 7 18 -21 28
20 Metz 32 5 7 20 -34 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg St Etienne
Jeremy Grimm 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 P. Ntep
↦ A. Dioussé
60′
🔁 J. Bamba
↦ R. Berič
Dimitri Foulquier 🟨
80′
J. Blayac 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
81′
82′
M. Debuchy 0–1
K. Monnet-Paquet
I. Saadi 🔁
↦ J. Grimm
85′
85′
🔁 S. Janko
↦ R. Hamouma
Jérémy Blayac 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Rémy Cabella
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja
26 Bakary Koné D
22 E. Seka D
4 P. Martinez D
2 D. Foulquier D
17 A. Gonçalves M
6 J. Grimm M
28 J. Martin M
10 B. Corgnet M
11 D. Liénard M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
13 J. Blayac
9 I. Saadi
30 B. Kamara
36 D. Tchamba
34 L. Zohi
35 A. Caci
21 Y. Salmier

Coach: T. Laurey

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
16 S. Ruffier G
26 M. Debuchy D
28 N. Subotić D
2 K. Théophile-Catherine D
6 Y. M'Vila M
21 R. Hamouma M
10 R. Cabella M
17 O. Selnæs M
8 A. Dioussé M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
27 R. Berič F
Bench (7)
7 P. Ntep
14 J. Bamba
15 S. Janko
5 V. Pajot
25 O. Tannane
30 J. Moulin
12 C. M'Bengue

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.