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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Bastien
Bordeaux
S S U S T
1–4
Full-time
St Etienne
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 46%
54%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 11. · St Etienne 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 24 21 3 0 +50 66
2 Monaco 25 12 9 4 +8 45
3 Nice 25 11 6 8 +9 39
4 Angers 25 10 7 8 +2 37
5 Lyon 25 10 6 9 +7 36
6 Nantes 25 9 9 7 +1 36
7 St Etienne 24 11 3 10 -1 36
8 Caen 25 11 3 11 -5 36
9 Rennes 25 8 11 6 +2 35
10 Marseille 24 8 10 6 +10 34
11 Bordeaux 24 8 9 7 -2 33
12 Lorient 25 7 10 8 -2 31
13 Guingamp 25 8 7 10 -4 31
14 Bastia 25 9 4 12 -5 31
15 Lille 25 6 12 7 +0 30
16 Reims 25 7 8 10 -6 29
17 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 25 6 9 10 -9 27
18 Montpellier 25 7 5 13 -3 26
19 Toulouse 25 4 9 12 -17 21
20 Troyes 25 1 8 16 -35 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Aug -15 St Etienne – Bordeaux 1–1

Match report

Bordeaux St Etienne
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
2′
4′
V. Pajot 0–1
7′
O. Tannane 0–2
B. Corgnet
1–2 C. Yamberé
J. Plašil
10′
18′
🟨 Renaud Cohade
Enzo Crivelli 🟨
22′
Half-time 1–2
V. Vada 🔁
↦ M. Arambarri
46′
46′
🔁 N. Roux
↦ B. Corgnet
54′
🔁 J. Brison
↦ F. Tabanou
T. Touré 🔁
↦ Malcom
69′
70′
A. Søderlund 1–3
O. Tannane
C. Diabaté 🔁
↦ J. Plašil
74′
74′
N. Roux 1–4
A. Søderlund
79′
🔁 F. Lemoine
↦ O. Tannane
Cédric Yambéré 🟨
84′
Diego Contento 🟨
90′
Cheick Diabaté 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Bordeaux

1 P. Bernardoni G
24 M. Debuchy D
3 D. Contento D
26 F. Guilbert D
21 C. Yamberé D
18 J. Plašil M
11 C. Chantôme M
10 M. Arambarri M
9 D. Rolan F
27 E. Crivelli F
25 Malcom F
Bench (7)
23 V. Vada
13 T. Touré
14 C. Diabaté
6 L. Sané
7 A. Traoré
17 A. Biyogo Poko
30 J. Prior

St Etienne

16 S. Ruffier G
26 M. Bayal Sall D
13 F. Tabanou D
2 K. Théophile Catherine D
19 F. Pogba D
6 J. Clément M
10 R. Cohade M
5 V. Pajot M
8 B. Corgnet M
23 A. Søderlund F
4 O. Tannane F
Bench (7)
9 N. Roux
20 J. Brison
18 F. Lemoine
17 O. Selnæs
14 N. Maupay
25 K. Malcuit
30 J. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.