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Ligue 1
Referee: Nicolas Rainville
Angers
S S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Lille
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 10. · Lille 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 St Etienne 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Bordeaux 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Caen 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Guingamp 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Toulouse 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Angers 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Troyes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Strasbourg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Nantes 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Dijon 4 1 1 2 -5 4
16 Lille 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Nice 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Rennes 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Metz 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lille
16′
🟨 Nicolas Pépé
Mateo Pavlović 🟨
20′
23′
🟨 Luiz Araújo
44′
🟨 Anwar El Ghazi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ A. El Ghazi
51′
🟨 Ibrahim Amadou
Yoann Andreu 🟨
52′
1–0 L. Coulibaly
A. Fulgini
60′
W. Kanga 🔁
↦ E. Crivelli
62′
68′
N. de Préville 1–1
J. Alonso
F. Tait 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
71′
G. Sunu 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
76′
76′
🔁 Xeka
↦ N. de Préville
80′
🟨 Ezequiel Ponce
91′
🔁 I. Faraj
↦ N. Pépé
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
30 A. Letellier G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
23 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
12 L. Coulibaly M
9 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
11 W. Kanga
20 F. Tait
10 G. Sunu
16 M. Michel
21 L. Puyo
25 A. Bamba
26 M. Tahrat

Coach: S. Moulin

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 K. Malcuit D
15 Edgar Ié D
3 J. Alonso D
6 I. Amadou M
20 Thiago Maia M
21 Y. Bissouma M
12 N. de Préville F
19 N. Pépé M
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
9 E. Ponce
8 Xeka
33 I. Faraj
25 F. Ballo
26 F. Bahlouli
29 K. N'Guessan
30 K. Koffi

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Rainville · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.