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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Sp Lisbon

T S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Estoril

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

2,7

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 24

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Estoril 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Rio Ave	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Feirense	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-7	4
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Boavista	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Chaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rio Ave	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.