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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Marseille
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Angers
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Marseille 5. · Angers 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Lyon 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Troyes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Montpellier 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Nice 3 1 0 2 +0 3
13 Caen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Lille 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Guingamp 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Nantes 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Rennes 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Dijon 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Metz 3 0 0 3 -5 0
20 Amiens 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Angers
Florian Thauvin 🟨
14′
1–0 C. N'Jie
17′
27′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
V. Germain 🔁
↦ C. NJie
38′
Half-time 1–0
Jordan Amavi 🟨
62′
Dória 🔁
↦ J. Amavi
64′
64′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ L. Coulibaly
68′
🟨 Mateo Pavlović
70′
K. Toko Ekambi 1–1
A. Fulgini
72′
🔁 B. Guillaume
↦ E. Crivelli
R. Cabella 🔁
↦ M. Sanson
77′
79′
🔁 G. Sunu
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
Valère Germain 🟨
90′
Lucas Ocampos 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Marseille

4-2-3-1
30 S. Mandanda G
23 A. Rami D
6 Rolando D
18 J. Amavi D
19 Luiz Gustavo M
17 B. Sarr D
5 L. Ocampos M
8 M. Sanson M
29 A. Zambo Anguissa
26 F. Thauvin M
14 C. N'Jie F
Bench (7)
28 V. Germain
3 Dória
7 R. Cabella
2 H. Sakai
4 B. Kamara
16 Y. Pelé
27 M. Lopez

Coach: R. Garcia

Angers

4-1-4-1
30 A. Letellier G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
5 T. Mangani M
23 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
12 L. Coulibaly M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
15 P. Capelle
19 B. Guillaume
10 G. Sunu
16 M. Michel
17 S. Ciss
21 L. Puyo
26 M. Tahrat

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.