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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni
Torino
U T T S U
3–0
Full-time
Sassuolo
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 9. · Sassuolo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Roma 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Torino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Lazio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Genoa 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Benevento 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Verona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Sassuolo
1–0 A. Belotti
L. De Silvestri
44′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 A. Ragusa
↦ S. Missiroli
66′
🔁 C. Adjapong
↦ M. Gazzola
S. Edera 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
72′
75′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ F. Magnanelli
80′
🟨 Antonino Ragusa
A. Acquah 🔁
↦ T. Rincón
81′
2–0 A. Ljajić
Iago Falqué
84′
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ Iago Falqué
85′
3–0 J. Obi
88′
Joel Obi 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
23 A. Barreca D
88 T. Rincón M
22 J. Obi M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (12)
20 S. Edera
6 A. Acquah
7 D. Zappacosta
1 S. Ichazo
3 C. Molinaro
4 K. Bonifazi
16 Samuel Gustafson
19 M. De Luca
27 V. Parigini
32 V. Savić
97 Lyanco
99 U. Sadiq

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
23 M. Gazzola D
15 F. Acerbi D
21 Pol Lirola D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
11 D. Falcinelli F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
90 A. Ragusa
98 C. Adjapong
12 S. Sensi
6 L. Mazzitelli
8 D. Biondini
14 G. Scamacca
20 F. Ricci
24 E. Goldaniga
29 F. Cassata
55 T. Letschert
77 G. Pegolo
17 N. Pierini

Coach: C. Bucchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.