Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lille
Angers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | +71 | 86 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +21 | 59 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
35 | 15 | 14 | 6 | +9 | 59 |
| 4 |
Nice
|
35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | +15 | 57 |
| 5 |
St Etienne
|
35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | +8 | 57 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | +10 | 52 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | +5 | 52 |
| 8 |
Angers
|
34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +5 | 49 |
| 9 |
Caen
|
35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | -15 | 47 |
| 10 |
Nantes
|
35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -7 | 45 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | +1 | 43 |
| 12 |
Guingamp
|
35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 |
Lorient
|
35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | -8 | 43 |
| 14 |
Bastia
|
35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 |
Bordeaux
|
34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | -11 | 43 |
| 16 |
Marseille
|
35 | 8 | 17 | 10 | +4 | 41 |
| 17 |
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
|
35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | -15 | 37 |
| 18 |
Reims
|
35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 |
Toulouse
|
35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -12 | 33 |
| 20 |
Troyes
|
35 | 3 | 8 | 24 | -52 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Sidibé
D
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
Lille
Lille
Monaco
Nantes
Lille
Lille
Toulouse
Bastia
Lille
Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.