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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Angers
S U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Lille
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 14%
21%
7%
Both score Ø 33%
29%
36%
Average goals
1,5
1,2
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 5. · Lille 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 +29 41
2 Lyon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
3 Caen 14 8 1 5 +0 25
4 Nice 14 7 3 4 +13 24
5 Angers 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Monaco 14 6 5 3 +0 23
7 St Etienne 14 7 1 6 -2 22
8 Rennes 14 5 6 3 +3 21
9 Lorient 14 5 5 4 +3 20
10 Guingamp 14 5 4 5 -2 19
11 Nantes 14 6 1 7 -3 19
12 Marseille 14 5 3 6 +6 18
13 Montpellier 15 5 3 7 -1 18
14 Bordeaux 14 4 6 4 -2 18
15 Reims 14 4 3 7 -4 15
16 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 14 4 3 7 -5 15
17 Lille 14 2 8 4 -1 14
18 Bastia 14 4 2 8 -6 14
19 Toulouse 14 1 6 7 -16 9
20 Troyes 15 0 5 10 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.