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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Strasbourg
T
3–0
Full-time
Lille
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
22 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Strasbourg 18. · Lille 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Lille 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Caen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
19 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Lille
12′
🔁 Y. Bissouma
↦ Thiago Mendes
19′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ K. Malcuit
33′
🟨 Fodé Ballo-Touré
37′
🔁 K. N'Guessan
↦ F. Ballo
Half-time 0–0
A. Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Nuno Da Costa
59′
Benjamin Corgnet 🟨
63′
63′
🟥 Mike Maignan
D. Liénard 🔁
↦ Y. Salmier
70′
1–0 J. Martin ⚽
D. Liénard
74′
81′
🟨 Edgar Ié
2–0 D. Liénard ⚽
82′
J. Grimm 🔁
↦ B. Corgnet
85′
3–0 J. Grimm ⚽
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
30 B. Kamara G
12 K. Mangane D
27 K. Lala D
4 P. Martinez D
21 Y. Salmier D
28 J. Martin M
10 B. Corgnet M
8 J. Aholou M
7 I. Sacko M
9 I. Saadi F
29 Nuno Da Costa F
Bench (7)
17 A. Gonçalves
11 D. Liénard
6 J. Grimm
1 L. Bonnefoi
13 J. Blayac
19 S. Bahoken
22 E. Seka

Coach: T. Laurey

Lille

5-4-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 K. Malcuit D
15 Edgar Ié D
3 J. Alonso D
23 Thiago Mendes M
6 I. Amadou M
25 F. Ballo D
12 N. de Préville F
10 Y. Benzia M
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
21 Y. Bissouma
20 Thiago Maia
29 K. N'Guessan
33 I. Faraj
9 E. Ponce
19 N. Pépé
30 K. Koffi

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.