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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Carlos Santos Capela
Boavista
S U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Aves
T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Aves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
27 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Boavista 18. · Aves 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Porto 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Feirense 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Maritimo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Estoril 3 2 0 1 +0 6
9 Tondela 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Belenenses 4 1 1 2 -5 4
11 Guimaraes 4 1 1 2 -7 4
12 Vitoria Setubal 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 2 2 -2 2
15 Moreirense 4 0 2 2 -6 2
16 Chaves 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Aves 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Boavista 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Aves
Mateus 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Nélson Lenho
1–0 Raphael Branco
58′
62′
🔁 Alexandre Guedes
↦ Bruno Braga
69′
🟥 Derley
Carraça 🔁
↦ Rochinha
74′
75′
🔁 C. Arango
↦ Rodrigo Alves
L. Acevedo 🔁
↦ I. Bulos
76′
Idris Mandiang 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 Sami
↦ R. Gauld
Kuca 🔁
↦ Mateus
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
33 Vagner G
20 Edu Machado D
90 Vítor Bruno D
22 S. Sparagna M
3 Raphael Branco D
10 Fábio Espinho M
42 I. Mandiang M
16 Rochinha M
9 Mateus M
7 Renato Santos M
19 I. Bulos F
Bench (7)
17 Carraça
29 L. Acevedo
18 Kuca
1 R. Spiegel
6 Robson
5 Talocha
8 Y. Njie

Coach: Miguel Leal

Aves

4-4-2
83 Adriano Facchini G
21 Nelson Lenho D
44 Diego Galo D
2 Rodrigo Alves D
19 Bruno Braga M
30 Vitor Gomes M
27 R. Gauld M
26 Ponck D
29 Claudio Falcão M
77 Salvador Agra M
33 Derley F
Bench (7)
7 Alexandre Guedes
99 C. Arango
22 Sami
8 Washington Santana
1 Quim
5 Rodrigo Defendi
13 Gonçalo

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Carlos Santos Capela · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
33,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,55 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.