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Ligue 1

Referee: Karim Abed

Lille

T T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Caen

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,5

0,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 13. · Caen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	St Etienne	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Caen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Metz	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
14	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Lille	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.