← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Napoli
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Atalanta
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Napoli Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
1,8
Scored
3,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 6. · Atalanta 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Torino 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Roma 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Lazio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Genoa 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Sassuolo 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Benevento 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Verona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Atalanta
15′
B. Cristante 0–1
A. Gómez
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. de Roon
↦ A. Petagna
Kalidou Koulibaly 🟨
54′
1–1 P. Zieliński
56′
Allan 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
58′
2–1 D. Mertens
L. Insigne
61′
63′
🔁 J. Kurtič
↦ B. Cristante
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ Jorginho
66′
M. Rog 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
75′
77′
🟨 Jasmin Kurtić
80′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ H. Hateboer
3–1 M. Rog
D. Mertens
87′
90′
🟨 Marten de Roon
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
11 C. Maggio D
26 K. Koulibaly D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
20 P. Zieliński M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (12)
5 Allan
42 A. Diawara
30 M. Rog
1 Rafael
6 Mário Rui
15 E. Giaccherini
19 N. Maksimović
21 V. Chiricheș
22 L. Sepe
37 A. Ounas
62 L. Tonelli
99 A. Milik

Coach: M. Sarri

Atalanta

3-4-3
1 E. Berisha G
5 A. Masiello D
3 Rafael Tolói D
6 J. Palomino D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gómez F
72 J. Iličić F
11 R. Freuler M
4 B. Cristante M
29 A. Petagna F
Bench (12)
15 M. de Roon
27 J. Kurtič
9 A. Cornelius
7 R. Orsolini
13 M. Caldara
20 L. Vido
21 T. Castagne
28 G. Mancini
31 F. Rossi
32 N. Haas
88 João Schmidt
91 P. Gollini

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.