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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Chievo
U U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Lazio
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 7. · Lazio 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Torino 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Roma 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Lazio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Genoa 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Sassuolo 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Benevento 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Verona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Lazio
11′
C. Immobile 0–1
Luis Alberto
1–1 M. Pucciarelli
R. Inglese
34′
Half-time 1–1
60′
🔁 J. Lukaku
↦ S. Lulić
60′
🔁 F. Caicedo
↦ Lucas Leiva
66′
🟨 Wallace dos Santos
Valter Birsa 🟨
67′
B. Cesar 🔁
↦ D. Dainelli
75′
L. Garritano 🔁
↦ M. Pucciarelli
80′
80′
🔁 A. Marušić
↦ D. Basta
S. Pellissier 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
85′
89′
S. Milinković-Savić 1–2
M. Parolo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
45 R. Inglese F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
12 B. Cesar
7 L. Garritano
31 S. Pellissier
1 F. Pavoni
2 P. Jaroszyński
4 N. Rigoni
11 M. Léris
14 M. Bani
27 F. Depaoli
55 Emanuel Vignato
77 S. Bastien
90 A. Seculin

Coach: R. Maran

Lazio

3-5-1-1
1 T. Strakosha G
8 D. Basta M
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
13 Wallace D
6 Lucas Leiva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
18 Luis Alberto F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (11)
5 J. Lukaku
20 F. Caicedo
77 A. Marušić
11 L. Crecco
15 Bastos
23 G. Guerrieri
27 Luiz Felipe
29 S. Palombi
55 I. Vargić
88 D. Di Gennaro
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.