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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Milan

T U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Cagliari

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 5. · Cagliari 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Roma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.