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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Torino
T U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Inter
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
36%
64%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
73%
18%
Both score Ø 55%
73%
36%
Average goals
3,1
1,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 2
6 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 11. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fiorentina 11 8 0 3 +13 24
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 +4 24
3 Roma 11 7 2 2 +12 23
4 Napoli 11 6 4 1 +13 22
5 Milan 12 6 2 4 -1 20
6 Sassuolo 11 5 4 2 +3 19
7 Atalanta 12 5 3 4 -1 18
8 Lazio 11 6 0 5 -2 18
9 Sampdoria 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Juventus 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Torino 11 4 3 4 +0 15
12 Empoli 11 4 2 5 -3 14
13 Chievo 11 3 4 4 +3 13
14 Bologna 12 4 0 8 -4 12
15 Udinese 11 3 3 5 -4 12
16 Genoa 11 3 3 5 -4 12
17 Palermo 11 3 2 6 -5 11
18 Frosinone 11 3 1 7 -7 10
19 Verona 12 0 6 6 -11 6
20 Carpi 11 1 3 7 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Inter
Kamil Glik 🟨
31′
31′
G. Kondogbia 0–1
R. Palacio
Half-time 0–1
63′
🟨 Gary Medel
M. López 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
63′
67′
🔁 I. Perišić
↦ M. Icardi
Bruno Peres 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ R. Palacio
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ Bruno Peres
78′
Amauri 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
82′
94′
🔁 A. Ranocchia
↦ J. Murillo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
21 G. Silva D
20 G. Vives M
16 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (10)
11 M. López
7 D. Zappacosta
22 Amauri
6 A. Acquah
13 L. Castellazzi
14 A. Gazzi
17 J. Martínez
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo
44 V. Pryyma

Inter

1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
5 Juan Jesus D
83 Felipe Melo M
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
8 R. Palacio F
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
44 I. Perišić
22 A. Ljajić
23 A. Ranocchia
10 S. Jovetić
11 J. Biabiany
12 Alex Telles
14 Martín Montoya
21 D. Santon
27 A. Gnoukouri
30 J. Carrizo
77 M. Brozović
97 R. Manaj

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.