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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Inter

U U S S S

4–0

Full-time

Frosinone

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

1,6

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

0,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 4. · Frosinone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	8	4	1	+16	28
2	Fiorentina	13	9	1	3	+15	28
3	Roma	13	8	3	2	+14	27
4	Inter	12	8	3	1	+5	27
5	Sassuolo	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Juventus	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Milan	13	6	2	5	-2	20
8	Lazio	13	6	1	6	-4	19
9	Torino	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Atalanta	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Chievo	13	4	4	5	+3	16
12	Sampdoria	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Genoa	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Palermo	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Empoli	13	4	3	6	-5	15
17	Bologna	13	4	1	8	-4	13
18	Frosinone	12	3	2	7	-7	11
19	Verona	13	0	6	7	-13	6
20	Carpi	13	1	3	9	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Fiorentina	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Sampdoria	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Juventus	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Sassuolo	6	4	2	0	+4	14
8	Atalanta	6	4	1	1	+6	13
9	Genoa	6	4	1	1	+3	13
10	Inter	6	4	1	1	+1	13
11	Milan	6	4	1	1	+0	13
12	Torino	6	3	2	1	+4	11
13	Frosinone	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Chievo	6	2	2	2	+3	8
15	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Palermo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Bologna	7	2	1	4	+0	7
18	Empoli	6	2	1	3	-2	7
19	Carpi	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	Verona	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Napoli	7	3	3	1	+6	12
3	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Roma	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Chievo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
6	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Empoli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Juventus	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	Milan	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Palermo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Torino	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Atalanta	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Genoa	7	0	3	4	-6	3
16	Verona	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Lazio	6	1	0	5	-12	3
18	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-6	2
19	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-9	1
20	Carpi	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.