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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Torino
U T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
57%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 8. · Roma 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 14 9 4 1 +17 31
2 Inter 14 9 3 2 +8 30
3 Fiorentina 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Roma 14 8 3 3 +12 27
5 Juventus 15 8 3 4 +11 27
6 Sassuolo 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Milan 14 7 2 5 +1 23
8 Torino 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Atalanta 14 6 3 5 +0 21
10 Lazio 15 6 1 8 -7 19
11 Udinese 14 5 3 6 -3 18
12 Empoli 14 5 3 6 -4 18
13 Chievo 14 4 4 6 +2 16
14 Sampdoria 14 4 4 6 -2 16
15 Genoa 14 4 4 6 -4 16
16 Palermo 14 4 3 7 -7 15
17 Frosinone 14 4 2 8 -10 14
18 Bologna 14 4 1 9 -6 13
19 Carpi 14 2 3 9 -14 9
20 Verona 14 0 6 8 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Roma
16′
🟨 Miralem Pjanić
26′
🔁 J. Iturbe
↦ Y. Gervinho
Bruno Peres 🟨
27′
Afriyie Acquah 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Alessandro Florenzi
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Radja Nainggolan
M. López 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
66′
M. Benassi 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
69′
71′
🔁 W. Vainqueur
↦ R. Nainggolan
Kamil Glik 🟨
74′
83′
M. Pjanić 0–1
85′
🔁 V. Torosidis
↦ Iago Falqué
J. Martínez 🔁
↦ C. Molinaro
86′
90′
🟨 Kōnstantinos Manōlas
1–1 M. López
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (11)
11 M. López
15 M. Benassi
17 J. Martínez
7 D. Zappacosta
13 L. Castellazzi
14 A. Gazzi
18 P. Jansson
22 Amauri
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo
44 V. Pryyma

Roma

25 W. Szczęsny G
44 K. Manolas D
3 L. Digne D
2 A. Rüdiger D
16 D. De Rossi M
4 R. Nainggolan M
15 M. Pjanić M
24 A. Florenzi D
27 Y. Gervinho F
9 E. Džeko F
14 Iago Falqué F
Bench (12)
7 J. Iturbe
21 W. Vainqueur
35 V. Torosidis
1 B. Lobonț
5 Leandro Castan
20 S. Kéita
23 N. Gyömbér
26 M. De Sanctis
33 Emerson
48 S. Uçan
57 Pepin
97 S. Umar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.