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Serie A
Referee: Angelo Cervellera
Atalanta
S T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Torino
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
42%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 8. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 13 8 4 1 +16 28
2 Fiorentina 12 9 0 3 +15 27
3 Roma 13 8 3 2 +14 27
4 Inter 12 8 3 1 +5 27
5 Sassuolo 12 6 4 2 +4 22
6 Juventus 13 6 3 4 +6 21
7 Milan 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 Atalanta 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Lazio 12 6 0 6 -4 18
10 Sampdoria 12 4 4 4 +2 16
11 Torino 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Palermo 12 4 2 6 -4 14
13 Empoli 12 4 2 6 -5 14
14 Chievo 12 3 4 5 +2 13
15 Bologna 13 4 1 8 -4 13
16 Genoa 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Udinese 12 3 3 6 -5 12
18 Frosinone 12 3 2 7 -7 11
19 Verona 13 0 6 7 -13 6
20 Carpi 12 1 3 8 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Torino
16′
🟨 Giuseppe Vives
Marten de Roon 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
52′
C. Bovo 0–1
D. Baselli
D. Brivio 🔁
↦ G. Bellini
55′
Guglielmo Stendardo 🟨
63′
C. Raimondi 🔁
↦ L. Cigarini
70′
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ A. Masiello
82′
84′
🔁 M. López
↦ F. Quagliarella
89′
🔁 A. Gazzi
↦ D. Baselli
95′
🔁 J. Martínez
↦ A. Belotti
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
29 G. Paletta D
2 G. Stendardo D
6 G. Bellini D
5 A. Masiello D
21 L. Cigarini M
10 A. Gómez F
11 M. Moralez M
17 C. Carmona M
15 M. de Roon M
19 G. Denis F
Bench (12)
28 D. Brivio
77 C. Raimondi
7 M. D'Alessandro
1 B. Radunović
8 G. Migliaccio
20 M. Estigarribia
24 A. Conti
27 J. Kurtič
30 D. Bassi
33 N. Cherubin
45 G. Monachello
88 A. Grassi

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
11 M. López
14 A. Gazzi
17 J. Martínez
7 D. Zappacosta
13 L. Castellazzi
18 P. Jansson
21 G. Silva
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Angelo Cervellera · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
1,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.