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Championship

Referee: Tony Harrington

Bolton

U T U T U

2–3

Full-time

Cardiff

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Championship · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 20%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

33%

28%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

0,7

1,1

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bolton 24. · Cardiff 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	19	12	3	4	+17	39
2	Brighton	17	10	7	0	+10	37
3	Hull	17	10	5	2	+18	35
4	Burnley	18	9	7	2	+9	34
5	Derby	17	9	6	2	+13	33
6	Birmingham	18	8	4	6	+5	28
7	Ipswich	19	7	7	5	+1	28
8	Reading	19	7	6	6	+4	27
9	Sheffield Weds	17	7	6	4	+3	27
10	Cardiff	18	6	8	4	+3	26
11	QPR	19	7	5	7	-1	26
12	Brentford	18	7	4	7	-1	25
13	Fulham	18	5	7	6	+1	22
14	Blackburn	18	4	9	5	+1	21
15	Wolves	18	5	6	7	-1	21
16	Nott'm Forest	18	5	5	8	-3	20
17	Leeds	18	4	7	7	-5	19
18	Preston	18	3	9	6	-3	18
19	Milton Keynes Dons	18	4	4	10	-9	16
20	Bristol City	18	3	7	8	-12	16
21	Charlton	18	4	4	10	-14	16
22	Huddersfield	18	3	6	9	-11	15
23	Rotherham	18	4	3	11	-12	15
24	Bolton	18	1	9	8	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	9	7	2	0	+7	23
2	Middlesbrough	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	Hull	8	6	2	0	+13	20
4	Burnley	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Derby	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Cardiff	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Sheffield Weds	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	QPR	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Reading	10	4	4	2	+6	16
10	Ipswich	10	3	5	2	+2	14
11	Brentford	9	4	1	4	-3	13
12	Nott'm Forest	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Fulham	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Blackburn	9	2	5	2	+3	11
15	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	Charlton	9	3	2	4	-5	11
17	Bolton	9	1	7	1	+0	10
18	Wolves	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Milton Keynes Dons	9	3	1	5	-3	10
20	Huddersfield	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Bristol City	9	2	3	4	-5	9
22	Preston	9	1	5	3	-2	8
23	Rotherham	9	2	2	5	-6	8
24	Leeds	9	1	3	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Middlesbrough	10	5	2	3	+3	17
3	Hull	9	4	3	2	+5	15
4	Derby	8	4	3	1	+4	15
5	Brighton	8	3	5	0	+3	14
6	Burnley	9	3	5	1	+1	14
7	Ipswich	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Leeds	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Brentford	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Wolves	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Reading	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Fulham	9	2	4	3	+1	10
13	Preston	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Blackburn	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Sheffield Weds	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	QPR	10	3	1	6	-7	10
17	Cardiff	9	1	5	3	-3	8
18	Nott'm Forest	9	2	2	5	-4	8
19	Rotherham	9	2	1	6	-6	7
20	Bristol City	9	1	4	4	-7	7
21	Milton Keynes Dons	9	1	3	5	-6	6
22	Huddersfield	9	1	3	5	-9	6
23	Charlton	9	1	2	6	-9	5
24	Bolton	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.