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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
West Brom
S T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Tottenham
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
36%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 13. · Tottenham 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 15 9 2 4 +14 29
2 Leicester 14 8 5 1 +8 29
3 Man United 14 8 4 2 +10 28
4 Arsenal 14 8 3 3 +12 27
5 Tottenham 14 6 7 1 +13 25
6 Liverpool 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Crystal Palace 14 7 1 6 +5 22
8 West Ham 14 6 4 4 +4 22
9 Stoke 15 6 4 5 -1 22
10 Everton 14 5 6 3 +8 21
11 Southampton 14 5 5 4 +3 20
12 Watford 14 5 4 5 -1 19
13 West Brom 14 5 3 6 -5 18
14 Chelsea 14 4 3 7 -6 15
15 Swansea 14 3 5 6 -5 14
16 Norwich 14 3 4 7 -8 13
17 Sunderland 14 3 3 8 -10 12
18 Bournemouth 14 2 4 8 -13 10
19 Newcastle 14 2 4 8 -16 10
20 Aston Villa 14 1 2 11 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Tottenham
15′
D. Alli 0–1
T. Alderweireld
1–1 J. McClean
D. Fletcher
39′
C. Gardner 🔁
↦ S. Sessègnon
44′
Half-time 1–1
James Morrison 🟨
57′
65′
🔁 Heung-Min Son
↦ E. Lamela
Craig Gardner 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Harry Kane
80′
🔁 C. N'Jie
↦ D. Alli
81′
🟨 Mousa Dembélé
James McClean 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Brom

13 G. Myhill G
3 J. Olsson D
23 G. McAuley D
6 J. Evans M
25 C. Dawson D
29 S. Sessègnon M
7 J. Morrison M
24 D. Fletcher M
11 C. Brunt D
14 J. McClean M
33 S. Rondón F
Bench (7)
8 C. Gardner
4 J. Chester
10 V. Anichebe
17 R. Lambert
18 S. Berahino
19 C. McManaman
21 A. Lindegaard

Tottenham

1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
3 D. Rose D
2 K. Walker D
4 T. Alderweireld D
15 E. Dier M
19 M. Dembélé M
11 E. Lamela M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
7 Heung-Min Son
14 C. N'Jie
13 M. Vorm
16 K. Trippier
25 J. Onomah
27 K. Wimmer
29 H. Winks

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.