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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
Granada
U U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
15%
69%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
54%
23%
Both score Ø 50%
69%
31%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 17. · Ath Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 11 0 2 +21 33
2 Real Madrid 14 9 3 2 +20 30
3 Ath Madrid 13 9 2 2 +12 29
4 Celta 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 La Coruna 13 5 6 2 +7 21
6 Villarreal 13 6 3 4 +2 21
7 Ath Bilbao 13 6 2 5 +5 20
8 Eibar 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Valencia 13 5 4 4 +7 19
10 Sevilla 13 5 3 5 +0 18
11 Betis 13 5 3 5 -5 18
12 Espanol 13 5 1 7 -10 16
13 Getafe 14 4 2 8 -8 14
14 Vallecano 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Sociedad 13 3 3 7 -4 12
16 Sp Gijon 13 3 3 7 -8 12
17 Granada 13 2 5 6 -7 11
18 Malaga 13 2 4 7 -6 10
19 Las Palmas 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Levante 13 2 4 7 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Ath Madrid
Dimitri Foulquier 🟨
19′
20′
D. Godín 0–1
Koke
Fran Rico 🟨
28′
40′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
Half-time 0–1
Robert Ibañez 🔁
↦ A. Peñaranda
63′
63′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Saúl
76′
A. Griezmann 0–2
Óliver Torres
Piti 🔁
↦ Fran Rico
77′
N. López 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
80′
80′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ Y. Ferreira Carrasco
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Granada

13 Andrés Fernández G
2 Lombán D
6 J. Babin D
3 C. Biraghi D
22 D. Foulquier D
4 Fran Rico M
20 Rubén Pérez M
9 Y. El-Arabi F
23 Rubén Rochina M
27 A. Peñaranda F
11 I. Success F
Bench (7)
7 Robert Ibañez
10 Piti
15 N. López
1 I. Kelava
5 Mainz
19 Neuton
26 U. Agbo

Ath Madrid

13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
24 J. Giménez D
14 Gabi M
17 Saúl M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Ferreira Carrasco M
9 Fernando Torres F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
10 Óliver Torres
22 T. Partey
1 Moyá
15 S. Savić
16 Á. Correa
18 Jesús Gámez
23 L. Vietto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.