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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Betis
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Celta
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
38%
77%
Both score Ø 62%
46%
77%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
28 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Betis 11. · Celta 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 11 1 2 +21 34
2 Ath Madrid 14 10 2 2 +14 32
3 Real Madrid 14 9 3 2 +20 30
4 Celta 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 La Coruna 14 5 7 2 +7 22
6 Villarreal 13 6 3 4 +2 21
7 Valencia 14 5 5 4 +7 20
8 Ath Bilbao 13 6 2 5 +5 20
9 Eibar 13 5 5 3 +3 20
10 Sevilla 14 5 4 5 +0 19
11 Betis 13 5 3 5 -5 18
12 Espanol 13 5 1 7 -10 16
13 Getafe 14 4 2 8 -8 14
14 Vallecano 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Sociedad 13 3 3 7 -4 12
16 Sp Gijon 13 3 3 7 -8 12
17 Granada 14 2 5 7 -9 11
18 Malaga 13 2 4 7 -6 10
19 Las Palmas 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Levante 13 2 4 7 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Celta
Bruno González 🟨
16′
22′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
25′
T. Bongonda 0–1
Nolito
29′
🟨 Carles Planas
Alfred N'Diaye 🟨
34′
35′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
Petros 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟥 Jonny Castro
51′
🔁 Diego Alende
↦ T. Bongonda
Jorge Molina 🔁
↦ Cejudo
55′
Álvaro Vadillo 🔁
↦ A. NDiaye
63′
Jorge Molina 🟨
68′
R. van der Vaart 🔁
↦ H. Westermann
75′
77′
🟨 Nolito
77′
🔁 Borja Fernández
↦ Iago Aspas
1–1 Jorge Molina
Petros
82′
Dani Ceballos 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Nolito
89′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Betis

1 Dani Giménez
17 H. Westermann D
4 Bruno González D
12 C. Piccini D
33 Francisco Varela D
7 Joaquín M
18 A. N'Diaye M
16 Cejudo M
25 Petros M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (7)
19 Jorge Molina
21 Álvaro Vadillo
23 R. van der Vaart
2 Molinero
30 De La Calzada
6 Jordi Figueras
14 Xavi Torres

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
21 Planas D
19 Jonny Castro D
24 A. Fernández M
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
9 Iago Aspas F
10 Nolito F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
29 Diego Alende
28 Borja Fernández
11 J. Guidetti
17 L. Madinda
13 Rubén Blanco
23 Josep Señé
16 D. Dražić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.