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Pro League
5–1
Full-time
Westerlo
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 15%
18%
12%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Westerlo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 13 8 3 2 +13 27
2 Club Brugge 11 8 1 2 +20 25
3 Gent 11 7 3 1 +13 24
4 Anderlecht 11 7 3 1 +10 24
5 St Truiden 15 7 1 7 +0 22
6 Genk 10 6 0 4 +1 18
7 Waregem 11 5 2 4 +4 17
8 Charleroi 10 4 4 2 +4 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 4 4 5 -1 16
10 Beveren 13 5 1 7 -8 16
11 Standard 13 5 1 7 -10 16
12 Mechelen 14 4 3 7 -7 15
13 Kortrijk 11 2 6 3 -1 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 3 3 11 -15 12
15 Westerlo 17 2 6 9 -17 12
16 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Westerlo
1–0 J. Kostovski
Y. Croizet
9′
2–0 J. Kostovski
P. Monteyne
24′
3–0 J. Bostock
J. Remacle
39′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 J. Koffi
↦ N. Schouterden
46′
🔁 E. Višņakovs
↦ F. Gounongbe
4–0 J. Remacle
Y. Croizet
50′
A. Cerigioni 🔁
↦ J. Kostovski
63′
S. Asamoah 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
68′
69′
🔁 J. Molenberghs
↦ B. De Ceulaer
79′
F. Daems 4–1
5–1 L. Trossard
S. Asamoah
81′
K. Houdret 🔁
↦ J. Bostock
84′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
5 P. Ngawa
16 K. Rougkalas
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
23 J. Kostovski
19 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
11 A. Cerigioni
22 S. Asamoah
12 K. Houdret
1 Y. Lenaerts
3 D. Vandenbroeck
14 T. Azevedo
24 K. Tapoko

Westerlo

30 K. Van Langendonck
3 F. Daems
2 M. Apau
24 J. Cools
17 K. Schuermans
18 N. Schouterden
11 K. Hyland
16 J. Mustoe
10 B. De Ceulaer
12 F. Gounongbe
14 M. Aoulad
Bench (7)
9 J. Koffi
90 E. Višņakovs
23 J. Molenberghs
1 K. Van Hout
5 N. Petković
8 M. Annys
22 G. Ruyssen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.