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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Hertha
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hertha 6. · Leverkusen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Dortmund 14 10 2 2 +21 32
3 Wolfsburg 14 7 4 3 +8 25
4 Schalke 04 15 7 3 5 +0 24
5 M'gladbach 14 7 2 5 +6 23
6 Hertha 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Leverkusen 14 6 3 5 +0 21
8 Hamburg 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Mainz 14 6 2 6 +0 20
10 FC Koln 14 5 5 4 -3 20
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 14 5 4 5 -4 19
12 Darmstadt 14 3 6 5 -5 15
13 Ein Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 -4 14
14 Hannover 15 4 2 9 -9 14
15 Werder Bremen 14 4 1 9 -14 13
16 Augsburg 14 2 4 8 -8 10
17 Stuttgart 14 3 1 10 -17 10
18 Hoffenheim 14 1 6 7 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Leverkusen
1–0 V. Darida
V. Ibišević
7′
17′
🟥 Sebastian Boenisch
20′
🔁 Wendell
↦ J. Brandt
29′
J. Hernández 1–1
A. Mehmedi
Vladimír Darida 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Brooks
M. Plattenhardt
60′
61′
🟨 Kevin Kampl
68′
🔁 R. Hilbert
↦ G. Donati
68′
🔁 H. Çalhanoğlu
↦ A. Mehmedi
A. Baumjohann 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
78′
84′
🟨 Roberto Hilbert
J. Hegeler 🔁
↦ V. Darida
85′
90′
🟨 Javier Hernández
J. van den Bergh 🔁
↦ G. Haraguchi
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hertha

22 R. Jarstein G
28 F. Lustenberger M
21 M. Plattenhardt D
25 J. Brooks D
39 Y. Regäsel D
3 P. Skjelbred M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
20 M. Weiser D
19 V. Ibišević F
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
9 A. Baumjohann
13 J. Hegeler
23 J. van den Bergh
29 Nils-Jonathan Körber
27 R. Beerens
14 V. Stocker
17 T. Cigerci

Leverkusen

1 B. Leno G
17 S. Boenisch
21 Ö. Toprak D
26 G. Donati D
4 J. Tah D
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
23 C. Kramer M
19 J. Brandt M
14 A. Mehmedi M
7 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
18 Wendell
13 R. Hilbert
10 H. Çalhanoğlu
11 S. Kießling
37 M. Frey
25 D. Kresic
2 André Ramalho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.