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Premier League
Referee: Paul Tierney
Bournemouth
T S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Man United
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
70%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 8
8 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 6. · Man United 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 10 8 2 0 +24 26
2 Liverpool 10 8 2 0 +16 26
3 Chelsea 10 7 3 0 +17 24
4 Arsenal 10 7 1 2 +11 22
5 Tottenham 10 7 0 3 +8 21
6 Bournemouth 10 6 2 2 +7 20
7 Watford 10 6 1 3 +4 19
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Everton 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Wolves 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Brighton 10 4 2 4 -2 14
12 Leicester 10 4 1 5 +0 13
13 West Ham 10 2 2 6 -6 8
14 Crystal Palace 10 2 2 6 -6 8
15 Burnley 10 2 2 6 -11 8
16 Southampton 10 1 4 5 -8 7
17 Cardiff 10 1 2 7 -14 5
18 Fulham 10 1 2 7 -17 5
19 Newcastle 10 0 3 7 -8 3
20 Huddersfield 10 0 3 7 -17 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Man United
1–0 C. Wilson
J. Stanislas
11′
35′
A. Martial 1–1
A. Sánchez
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Luke Shaw
56′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ Mata
56′
🔁 Ander Herrera
↦ Fred
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
58′
Junior Stanislas 🟨
63′
Callum Wilson 🟨
64′
D. Gosling 🔁
↦ L. Cook
68′
J. Ibe 🔁
↦ R. Fraser
74′
78′
🔁 J. Lingard
↦ A. Sánchez
82′
🟨 Ashley Young
Adam Smith 🟨
83′
90′
🟨 Marcus Rashford
A. Surman 🔁
↦ J. Stanislas
91′
92′
M. Rashford 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-4-1-1
27 A. Begović G
2 S. Francis D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
19 J. Stanislas M
24 R. Fraser M
8 J. Lerma M
16 L. Cook M
20 D. Brooks F
13 C. Wilson F
Bench (7)
4 D. Gosling
10 J. Ibe
6 A. Surman
1 A. Boruc
9 L. Mousset
11 C. Daniels
18 J. Defoe

Coach: E. Howe

Man United

4-3-3
1 David de Gea G
18 A. Young D
12 C. Smalling D
2 V. Lindelöf D
23 L. Shaw D
8 Mata F
31 N. Matić M
6 P. Pogba M
17 Fred M
7 A. Sánchez F
11 A. Martial F
Bench (7)
10 M. Rashford
21 Ander Herrera
14 J. Lingard
4 P. Jones
22 S. Romero
36 M. Darmian
39 S. McTominay

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.