Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Bournemouth
Man United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +24 | 26 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +16 | 26 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +17 | 24 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 |
Bournemouth
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 7 |
Watford
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |
Man United
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 17 |
| 9 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Wolves
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 15 |
| 11 |
Brighton
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Leicester
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +0 | 13 |
| 13 |
West Ham
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |
Burnley
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |
Cardiff
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 5 |
| 19 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Smith
D
N. Aké
D
J. Lerma
M
L. Cook
M
D. Brooks
F
C. Wilson
F
Coach: E. Howe
David de Gea
G
V. Lindelöf
D
L. Shaw
D
N. Matić
M
Fred
M
Coach: José Mourinho
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fulham
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Southampton
Watford
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Bournemouth
Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.